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UK Forecast: Thundery showers - Very warm south, Jun 18 - 15:14

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 14:14:07 GMT

Wednesday A very warm day for southern and eastern England. There will be broken cloud, but some sunny spells too. Thundery showers could develop over southern and southeast England as well as the eastern Midlands. Fewer showers to the west, just one or two over Wales and southwest England. Drier weather for northern England and southern and eastern Scotland as well as Ireland. Sunny spells here. A few showers forming over western Scotland and Ireland. Highs around 15 to 20C over many northern and western areas, but as high as 29C in southeast England.

Wednesday night Indications of more persist bursts of thundery rain spreading northwards through southern and central; England and Wales overnight. Much of northern Englajnd and northern Wales should be dry with some clear spells. Cloud and some rain in western Scotland and Ireland, but dry over eastern Ireland and the east of Scotland. Lows of 6 to 14C.

Thursday An area of thundery rain pushes northwards through much of England and Wales, most of it affecting southwest England, Wales, the western Midlands and northern England. Lighter and more patchy rain to the south of this zone, some sunny spells forming too. Cloud and some rain in western Scotland, but drier to the east and south. More rain in western Ireland, most of this fairly light. Highs at 15 to 22C.

Friday A complex area of low pressure lies across the country through Friday. This brings cloud and some rain, associated with an occluded front over much of England. This should be clearing east with some sunny spells forming for many, although staying cloudy and damp across southern and eastern Scotland. More persistent rain pushing rain into southern Ierland and southwest England by evening, the winds increasing here too later. Tops at 14 to 21C.

Morning Call: Thundery south - Fair north, Jun 18 - 05:44

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 04:44:02 GMT

Thundery rain in the south Good morning, Humid, continental air is arriving across England and parts of Wales now, leaching in as low pressure deepens over the Channel. This is turn the winds to the east and will bringing some thundery bursts of rain through southern England this morning, extending into the Midlands and Wales as well as southwest England this afternoon.

Showers developing over southeast coasts later this afternoon, these then moving into East Anglia overnight. But this will not be fore temperatures become very warm here through the course of this afternoon.

Cloud and some showers over central Scotland this morning, but for most it will be dry and cloud. More showers forming here in the afternoon. The best of the days sunshine is going to be over northern England and northern parts of Wales.

Week ahead: Disturbed weekend - Drier later, Jun 18 - 08:56

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 07:56:03 GMT

A wet and windy weekend, but hints of better weather early next week A very unsettled weekend ahead as low pressure crosses the country. This brings the risk of gales and heavy periods of rain and showers. Indications are that pressure will be building right at the end of the forecast period bringing more settled conditions.

For the weather for the next few days click here Friday 21/6/13 A complex area of low pressure lies across the country through Friday. This brings cloud and some rain, associated with an occluded front over much of England. This should be clearing east with some sunny spells forming for many, although staying cloudy and damp across southern and eastern Scotland. More persistent rain pushing rain into southern Ireland and southwest England by evening, the winds increasing here too later. Tops at 14 to 21C.

Saturday 22/6/13 A very unsettled day across all parts of the UK and Ireland on Saturday as a deep area of low pressure crosses the country. This brings rain and showers to all. Most of the rain looks set to be in Wales, northern England and Scotland. The rain tending to be more showery to the south, although merging to longer periods of rain at times. A very windy day too, the strongest of them probably in the south where they will be in excess of gale force. Highs at 11 to 17C.

Sunday 23/6/13 The area of low pressure ends up to the east of Scotland on Sunday. This brings more rain through Scotland and northern England. Showers to the south and west, some of these heavy at times. Remaining windy too. Temperatures at 12 to 16C. Monday 24/6/13 The area of low pressure stays east of Scotland on Monday. Winds will be in the northwest bringing cloud and rain across northern and eastern areas of the country. Showers will be following to the west and south. A breezy day. Highs at 11 to 16C. Tuesday 25/6/13 A ridge of high pressure will be building from the west on Tuesday. This should bring a fair day with sunny spells over western and southern areas, but some showers still affecting the north and east. Tops at 14 to 20C. Wednesday 26/6/13 Pressure builds across southern areas today bringing a fair day with some good spells of sunshine, and feeling warmer too. Some showers over northern and western Scotland, but dry to the east and south. Highs at 18 to 23C.

Month ahead: Valid from 15/06 to 15/07 2013 - Some fine spells, Jun 15 - 15:44

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Sat, 15 Jun 2013 14:44:04 GMT

Some fine spells but rain to contend with too Changeable weather conditions are expected through the forecast period, but the good news is there will neither be a washout, nor do we expect a prolonged heatwave. There will be periods when the weather is more disturbed, notably in the coming week, and again mid-July. sunshine. Periods of fine weather look likely at the end of June and into the early part of July, and then again at the very end of the forecast, probably after 14th. Confidence is reasonably high as forecast models have been consistent with these predictions. *........22/06/13* Low pressure is going to be teasing the country through this week and so unsettled conditions prevail. However, where is unsettled and where is more settled will vary through the week. The early part of the week probably best through more northern parts of England and Scotland. Rain in more southern areas of Wales and England. By mid to late week this reverses with the north seeing windier and more unsettled weather, the south enjoying more settled conditions. Most rainfall affecting the west of Scotland and northwestern parts of England and Ireland. *23/06/13 to 29/06/13* It is during this period that changes may start to occur. Through the early part of the week conditions may be staying fairly unsettled with a risk of rain, showers and some brisk winds. We do not expect a washout with most of the rain only light to moderate, and most through more northern and western areas. Pressure will be building from the south easterly in the week and this will bring more settled weather. This is going to be edging northwards with many areas then dry and increasingly sunny. It will be feeling warmer too. Rain may continues to affect northern and western Scotland at times, although the east and south will be drier. Whilst not hot, temperatures in the south should be turning warmer. *30/06/13......06/07/13* Pressure may stay fairly high through this period over most of the UK and Ireland, This should lead to mainly fair conditions with some good spells of sunshine. Remaining warm too, and perhaps even becoming hot through central and southern areas. Some fog may drift onto eastern coasts. Later in the week there is the threat of some thundery rain moving into southern parts of England, this then edging northwards, introducing more changeable conditions. However, most of the northern 2/3rds of the country stay dry. *07/07/13......13/07/13* A steady breakdown may take place through this week. The breakdown may be a little hit-and-miss, but eventually all areas are likely to see some rain. This will be thundery in the south. The rain should clear eastwards to be replaced by a cooler, more disturbed, westerly airflow. This will bring with it a mix of sunshine and showers. All areas are likely to see these from mid-week. *14/07/13......20/07/13* The more changeable of conditions are set to continue. Westerly winds bring sunshine and showers, but the threat of some more persistent rain at times in the north and west. Pressure may build to the south again later in the week with drier weather then spreading back north. England and Wales as well as southern Ireland could be dry, sunny and warmer by the end of the week. Probably feeling milder too. Simon & Capn Bob Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk

Seasonal outlook: Best in July - More unsettled August, May 19 - 12:14

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Sun, 19 May 2013 11:14:07 GMT

*July* Indications are that high pressure is going to be dominating the weather across the southern half of the UK and Ireland through July. Models are in good agreement that the month is going to be drier than normal and more sunnier than normal across England and Wales as well as southern Ireland. However, lower pressure is to the north and that probably allows fronts to pass eastwards through the country bringing some periods of cloud and rain at times. It could be breezy in northern Scotland too. *August* High pressure is expected to drift south of the UK through August. Pressure looks to be lower through more central areas. This is likely to be bringing periods of rain through Ireland and much of Scotland as well as southern England. Overall a more unsettled month with near to above normal rainfall totals. Captain Bob & Simon Keeling Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk

Lookback: May Lookback - Coldest since 1996, Jun 03 - 09:31

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Mon, 03 Jun 2013 08:31:08 GMT

May began with a week of dry, sunny and rather warm weather, but thereafter there were several short unsettled spells with widespread rain and low temperatures. The mean sea-level pressure chart for May shows and low centre of 1008 mbar near the Faeroes, a very prominent high of 1028 mbar just northwest of the Azores, and a moderate northwesterly airflow over the UK. It was the 18th most northerly May in 141 years of records.

Mean maximum temperature during May ranged from 16.2°C at St James's Park (London) to 9.3°C at Fair Isle (between Orkney and Shetland), while mean minimum temperature varied between 8.9°C at St Mary's (Isles of Scilly) and 3.4°C at Loch Glascarnoch (Wester Ross). Both daytime and night-time temperatures were between 0.5 and 1.5 °C below the 1981-2010 normal in nearly all regions. The Central England Temperature (CET) of 10.3°C was 1.4 °C below the long-term mean - the lowest in May since 1996. In the last 100 years there were 12 colder Mays, four with the same mean temperature, while 84 were warmer.

The highest maximum at a standard site (i.e excluding rooftop and mountain sites) in the UK was 23.7°C recorded at Crosby (Merseyside) on the 7th and also at St James's Park (London) on the 31st, while the lowest minimum was minus 4.8°C at Tulloch Bridge (Lochaber) early on the 2nd. The lowest daytime maximum was 4.1°C at Braemar (Aberdeenshire) on the 23rd, while the warmest night was that of the 20th/21st with a minimum of 14.4°C at Thorney Island (West Sussex).

Rainfall averaged over England and Wales during May was 74mm which is 114 per cent of the average for the standard reference period 1981-2010. Averaged nationally it was somewhat wetter than the last four Mays, but marginally drier than that of 2008; in the last 100 years 27 Mays were wetter while 73 were wetter. The equivalent figures for Scotland were 74mm and 123 per cent of the normal amount, and for Northern Ireland 78mm and 139 per cent. Monthly totals at routinely-available sites varied between 265mm at Achnagart (Wester Ross) and 31mm at Shoeburyness (Essex). The heaviest daily fall was 72mm on the 14th at Pembrey Sands (Carmarthenshire).

Sunshine averaged over England and Wales during May was 202 hours which is 100 per cent of the 1981-2010 mean, rather less sunny than each of the last five Mays, but sunnier than May 2007. In the last 100 years, 52 Mays were sunnier while 48 were duller. The equivalent figures for Scotland were 176 hours and 99 per cent, and for Northern Ireland 184 hours and 90 per cent. Largest total in the UK was 247 hours at Guernsey (Channel Is) and the smallest was 119 hours at Eskdalemuir (Dumfriesshire).

Strongest winds during May occurred between the 9th and 14th with gusts to 62 knots at Mumbles (near Swansea) on the 9th.

European Summary: Thunder in west - Dry in east, Jun 18 - 05:43

news@weatheronline.co.uk (News WeatherOnline) — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 04:43:04 GMT

Thundery rain in western Europe but dry and sunny to the east Tuesday Rather cloudy across eastern parts of Spain today with the chance of a few showers. Some cloud and a shower risk in central Spain and Portugal too. High pressure brings lots of hot sunshine to Italy and southeast France. Greece stays fine with more sunshine here, whilst Turkey is breezy, dry and sunny, although with some heavy showers in the north. Cloud and rain in western France, but the east should be dry and sunny. Some cloud and drizzle in the Low Countries and northern Germany and Poland. Elsewhere in central Europe the day is dry with lots of sunshine, and becoming very warm too. Cloud in southern Denmark, but to the north it should be sunny. More sunshine and dry weather in the Baltic States. A few showers mixed with sunny spells for Finland. Most of Sweden and Norway are going to enjoy dry and fine weather too with lots of sunshine here.

Wednesday Cloud and some showers or longer spells of rain over parts of eastern Portugal and northern Spain. More southern and eastern parts of Spain will be dry with sunny spells. Italy will be dry with lots of sunshine throughout and it will be very warm too. Warm and sunny across Greece, with wind and warm weather across Turkey. Cloud and heavy periods of thundery rain across France. Some thundery showers in the Low Countries and parts of Germany. Poland will be very warm with sunny spells. More sunshine and showers over Austria, Switzerland and Hungary. Cloud and warm weather for Denmark. Fine through the Baltic States and Finland with lots of sunshine. Variable cloud in Norway but some sunshine here and dry too. Sunny and dry across Sweden throughout.